Extensive Research Now Says, Ice Is Declared Out at 9:00 AM March 18th

There has been a battle of warm and cold during the last week (throwing in a bit of rain) and some ice held tough in places. At 9:00 on the 18th, no ice was seen in the east part of the lake and only very small areas were found in other areas, but all shores could launch boats into the lake. Thanks to the continued research of the ICE team. The closest guess was  March 18 17:00  and Susan Heimiller was the winner.

This ice out date is the earliest that has occurred in the records that I found. The ice out dates at the bottom of this don’t go very far back but I was not able to find earlier years. If anyone has records of those, it would be great to have those in the record.

The earlier declaration of ice out was questioned and there were issues of launching boats from all shores but present photos indicate that there are no patches of ice large enough to prevent launching of boats from any shore.

If you go out in small boats, canoes or kayaks, the law says you need to wear a life jacket so if you tip, you float rather than have to figure out how to put your life jacket on and then figure out what to do. Be careful. The water is at about 32 degrees……..

Want to guess the day and time the ice on the lake goes out? Now is your chance. The Ice Out Contest will be in last year’s format. You will NOT be able to change your guess. This is a change from a few years ago because of the switch to the new website. Once you “claim” a date and time, it will be entered into a spreadsheet that will be included in this article. The contest is now open and all guesses must be posted to the website forum titled “Ice Out Guesses” found on the left side of this page. Click on the ice out forum , choose your date and then submit it. Include AM or PM. Make sure that you hit the “submit” button at the bottom of the page. If you can’t figure out how to post, you can send your guess directly to info@lwa.org. Dates of previous Ice Outs are given at the bottom of this article. Guessing will close on March 6th at 11:59 PM. There is little chance that the ice will be out by then. Bragging rights and even a small prize for the winner.

The dates and times chosen will be posted in this “ice out” article. I will check the forum every few days and add the guesses to the spreadsheet that will be updated in the article. Contest will close this year on March 6th at 11:59 PM. Make sure you include AM or PM in your guess. One issue about fairness……. Given that early guessers can’t change their times and dates, it would not be fair to choose a time and date just a few minutes away from an early poster. Give early posters a little space if you can. Ice out is declared when “all the shores are free of ice” so that people could launch boats if they desired. The winner is closest to the “judged” time. A committee (that varies) makes the decision. All committee members are certified by the International Commission for Exactness (ICE).


March 17 12:00 Eric Ouhrabka
March 17 15:30 66pop
March 18 17:00 Susan Heimiller
March 19 16:30 Islander
March 20 13:00 Skiff
March 21 14:00 Holy Holden
March 22 13:00 Bob Weidner
March 23 15:00 Rubka23
March 24 13:30 Karen Ouhrabka
March 25 12:00 Richard Lamperti
March 26 16:00 Rubka888
March 28 13:00 Nowindshield
March 31 15:30 dwr13
April 1 11:00 Bill Durfee
April 2 12:00 Triggs 2
April 3 14:12 Pam Reilly
April 3 15:00 Katie Ellis
April 4 12:00 Fernald 1
April 5 8:00 ChiefandJune
April 8 12:00 Ryan Arnold
April 10 12:00 Becky Arnold
April 12 15:30 Bruce Gifford
April 15 9:00 City Kid
April 17 16:30 ptoint of view

Previous Ice Out Dates:

2005  Apr.  17     5:30 PM

2006 Apr. 1          12:00 PM
2007   Apr. 23    6:00 AM
2008   Apr. 23    8:00 AM
2009   Apr. 12    6:00 AM
2010  Mar. 23     3:00 PM
2011 Apr. 20       2:30 PM
2012   March 22 12:00 PM

2013 Apr. 14   3:15 PM

2014 Apr. 19    3:00 PM

2015 Apr. 20     7:45 PM


  1. Rubka888

    Ice out yet?

  2. crosleyc

    Clear water as far as I can see left and right out to 100 feet viewing from Kenney Shore.

    Swath of ice about 200′-400′ wide from there out. Water on north side of Hersey to Goose.

    Ice out elsewhere???

  3. chief13cr

    Left Lake Wentworth this morning. From Holden Shore all I could see was open water except for some ice in the cove. I also thought the lake was down quiet a bit and wonder if it can in recover this spring with the lack of snow and rain? I am curious what is the earliest ice out date of record?

  4. chief13cr

    I pick April 5, at 8 AM

  5. rubka23

    Rubka23 picks March 23 at 3pm

  6. Katie Ouhrabka

    Katie Ellis picks April 3 at 3 pm

    1. PeterG (Post author)

      It has been recorded.

  7. HolyHolden

    Holy Holden picks March 21 at 2 PM (when Shaun wakes up) for ice-out 2016.

Comments are closed.